Saxo Market Call
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Saxo Market Call
For the aspirational trader and financial markets professional. Coming at you most trading days, the Saxo Market Call is the high frequency podcast for real-time analysis of the financial markets across asset classes, from forex and rates to equities and commodities.
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Rounding up the usual suspects as a new era at the Fed dawns next week.
Today, the usual suspects knee-jerked higher Thursday on Trump's latest peace declaration as crude oil dropped, while the other usual suspects (softwa...
The either-or moment for US stocks and gold
Today, a look at markets testing the lows again yesterday, but trying to put in a rally ahead of a huge market event tomorrow that could define where...
Market volatility expansion flashes red. Gold key support in view.
Today, a look at what the further acceleration in US- and other market volatility means, particularly for the highly speculative chip stocks that have...
Many moving parts ahead of next week's seminal event
Today, a look at the market trying to continue its bounce-back from Friday's meltdown in especially chip stocks, interesting news flow on the AI data...
Correction not yet a calamity.
Today, putting Friday's big market sell-off in perspective as an overdue development after the huge recent ramp in high momentum stocks. Broader risk...
The real reason Musk wants to go to Mars?
Today we look at fresh blow-out enthusiasm for a major tech name reporting strong earnings that blasted its stock into the stratosphere after hours ye...
Snowflake rips, Gold at critical levels.
Today, we note the very different outcomes for the two admittedly very different software names Salesforce and Snowflake as both reported earnings aft...
Memory mania or just catching up with fundamentals?
Today's John J. Hardy substack (and yes, embarrassing bad math from your host in today's podcast)
Today, we try to keep observations balanced as...
Solace for quantum investors as long weekend awaits
Today, a look at quantum computing stocks getting a big bump on public investments in the space in the US. Elsewhere, it remains all about AI stocks p...
Nvidia earnings a damp squib as something else is blotting out the sun.
Today, the prospect of perhaps the most anticipated IPO ever is overwhelming the market's interest in processing Nvidia's latest earnings report, whic...
Pivotal days for tech and AI stocks, FX and rates
Today, markets are looking pivotal across the board ahead of the single biggest earnings report of the quarter as Nvidia reports after the market clos...
Which vehicle does the Musk cult choose post SpaceX IPO?
Today, a look at markets that are - and should remain - a bit nervous given the big push higher in global yields of late. Up ahead, we have some huge...
Global bond yields are the captain now.
Today, a look at global bond yields setting the agenda across markets, the "nothingburger" Xi-Trump summit failing to make waves, the king of earnings...
Dip bought as Jensen Huang joins Trump in China. Also: oil, gold and wheat.
Today, a rundown of the market largely springing quickly back from a vicious semi-conductor sell-off ahead of critical potential incoming news as Jens...
Korean politician pops the chip vibe. Sterling under pressure.
Today - a Korean politician sparked enormous volatility in the key chip names there on suggesting the idea of a "citizens' dividend" to be extracted f...
Trump-Xi summit an historical moment. Also, an exquisitely timed IPO on deck.
Today, a look at the massive further ramping in the hottest AI-adjacent hardware names on Friday, although it was a former SaaS victim that rallied ha...
Some relief in software. Eyes on Trump-Xi next week.
Today, a look at US market performance behaving very differently yesterday as some software names got a big boost on an otherwise negative day, in par...
Chip madness getting close to FOMO mania phase?
Here is today's John J. Hardy substack post.
Today, a look at the latest run-up in semiconductor names, especially after AMD reported earnings y...
Does this market rhyme with 1926, 1928 or even 1929?
Today, a look at the remarkable US market and its seeming immunity to any external development and what that suggests about where we may be in some so...
JPY intervention! And, can Economist covers open the Strait of Hormuz?
Today we discuss the key companies reporting in this week's earnings bonanza with Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo, including Meta, Alphabet, Amaz...
Capex bombast versus spiking energy prices creating unbearable tension. Also, the JPY!
Today - how the market is parsing the titanic capex plans for the four Mag7 companies reporting after the US market close yesterday. With crude oil pr...
Four megacaps on tap late today to test market sentiment.
Today, a look at a modest market setback ahead of the single most important day on the earnings calendar this quarter, as four of the Mag7 are set to...
The cognitive dissonance is getting painful here.
Today's John J. Hardy substack post.
Today, challenging the notion that energy prices can remain here or go higher and risk sentiment can stay s...
Semiconductor momentum getting bubbly. Meanwhile, Hormuz Strait - what's that?
Today, a look at the continued incredible ramp in semiconductor names and whether we are inflating an incipient bubble, even if forward valuations in...
SaaSpocalypse NOW. Also, massive earnings and central bank week ahead.
Today, we look at the collateral damage in software-as-a-service land after ServiceNow shares suffered a nasty markdown yesterday after reporting earn...
AI picks & shovels rocket higher. If only they could open the Hormuz Strait.
Today, a look at a concentrated market rally in the US yesterday, led by big picks and shovels names in AI, with GE Vernova leading the pack, even as...
Vast demand destruction is helping keep a lid on oil. Big SaaS test today.
Today, a look at a key factor keeping oil in check - namely demand destruction, as shipping flows through the Hormuz Strait remain at a trickle or les...
What to look for in Warsh nomination hearings as US-Iran talks also in focus.
Today, as the headline US equity indices finally paused for breath after their recent steep run-up, a run-down of incoming earnings today and tomorrow...
Earnings season ramps up this week amidst pesky Hormuz Strait headline risk
Today, a brief look at waking up this week to the latest headline risks from the Hormuz Strait, which have only weakly impacted US equity futures, whi...
What now after the "biblical vol reset"?
Today, a look at the US market completing one of its most remarkable comebacks ever as it ramped off recently lows to hit new all time highs in such q...
We've come full circle and then some for the USD and risk sentiment.
Today, a look at the US dollar and risk sentiment now having come full circle and even then some in individual cases from the levels trading prior to...
Market dons the rose-tinted glasses and USD is breaking down
Today we look at the further strong resurgence in risk assets, noting in particular the first signs of a comeback in some of the most beaten down name...
Blockading the Hormuz Strait blockade: how does this work, exactly?
Today, we look at the fresh pain for global markets on the collapse of US-Iran talks this weekend and the new US intent to blockade the Hormuz Strait,...
Anthropic carving a path of devastation while we await outcome of US-Iran talks.
Today, a look at equity markets that remain hopeful as key US-Iran talks kick off today in Islamabad, Pakistan. Even so, some big software names were...
Wall of worry remains high, can bulls keep flexing?
Today, a look at the market maintaining a remarkably resilient stance despite Iran casting doubts on the status of the cease-fire announcement that so...
A robust market reaction to a quite fragile "cease-fire" in Iran.
Today, a look at the fragile "cease-fire" between the US and Iran and whether it is mostly a US climbdown from its maximalist threats than any remarka...
Markets melt up on Trump's seeming urgency to end war, but ...
Today, an assessment of the end-of-March and quarter-end melt-up in equities, where calendar and positioning factors are likely key drivers in additio...
Market keeps finding new pressure points besides the worst ones.
Today, a look at a US market that was under exceptional pressure as major US name sold off, taking the US market to cycle lows when the broader market...
Market celebrating Trump's seeming desperation to pull US out of Iran war.
Markets are aggressively pricing an improved outlook for global energy flows as US president Trump seems to want to wrap things up in Iran as quickly...
Trump rolls a social media grenade onto the trading floor.
Today we look at the market-altering after effects of Trump's claims of diplomacy with Iran as he backed away from an ultimatum against Iran's power i...